ПРОГНОЗ ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЯ ОРОШАЕМЫХ ТЕРРИТОРИЙ БАССЕЙНА РЕКИ ТАЛАС ДЛЯ ЭФФЕКТИВНОГО ХОЗЯЙСТВЕННОГО ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЯ

Abstract

Forecasting the effective economic use of irrigated lands in the Talas River Basin is becoming increasingly relevant in the context of addressing ecological, economic, social, and political aspects, as well as predictive trends directly linked to climate change and water resources. The aim of this study is to develop a forecast for the use of irrigated lands in the Talas River Basin to enhance the efficiency of economic activities. This includes analyzing the current state of irrigation systems and assessing water and soil resources. The relevance of the forecasts lies in the need to model scenarios that take these factors into account for the implementation of water-saving technologies. The basin’s water resources sustain vital processes, primarily through agricultural activities. However, current challenges include high water losses (up to 50% in irrigation systems). Forecasts of irrigated land use allow for improved economic utilization, increasing profitability by 15–20% through the adoption of modern approaches. Such forecasts will make it possible to develop strategies aimed at reducing water losses, preventing soil salinization, increasing agricultural productivity and profitability, and ensuring the region’s ecological sustainability under current challenges.